The October 2021 NSSF-adjusted National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) figure of 1,427,264 is a decrease of 19.3 percent compared to the October 2020 NSSF-adjusted NICS figure of 1,769,553, according to the National Shooting Sports Foundation.
Still the raw number of NICS checks is the second strongest on record for the month of October.
For comparison, the unadjusted October 2021 FBI NICS figure 2,577,913* reflects a 21.1 percent decrease from the unadjusted FBI NICS figure of 3,268,909 in October 2020. (*The raw data number published by NSSF invariably is different from the number posted by the FBI each month, which was 2,593,168 as posted on the FBI’s monthly chart.)
The October 2021 figures were surpassed only by October 2020, when 1,769,553 background checks for a firearm sale were conducted.
The total NSSF-adjusted NICS January – October 2021 reflects a decrease of 11.9% compared to the same time period in 2020.
Please note: Twenty-five states currently have at least one qualified alternative permit, which under the Brady Act allows the permit-holder, who has undergone a background check to obtain the permit, to purchase a firearm from a licensed dealer without a separate additional background check for that transfer. The number of NICS checks in these states does not include these legal transfers based on qualifying permits and NSSF does not adjust for these transfers.
The adjusted NICS data were derived by subtracting out NICS purpose code permit checks and permit rechecks used by states for CCW permit application checks as well as checks on active CCW permit databases. NSSF started subtracting permit rechecks in February 2016.
Though not a direct correlation to firearms sales, the NSSF-adjusted NICS data provide an additional picture of current market conditions. In addition to other purposes, NICS is used to check transactions for sales or transfers of new or used firearms.
It should be noted that these statistics represent the number of firearm background checks initiated through the NICS. They do not represent the number of firearms sold or sales dollars. Based on varying state laws, local market conditions and purchase scenarios, a one-to-one correlation cannot be made between a firearm background check and a firearm sale